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    <CENTER><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="+4">Events
    of January 1997</FONT></FONT></FONT></CENTER>
    <HR WIDTH="100%">
    <CENTER><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="+1">Anne
    D. Baylon</FONT></FONT></FONT></CENTER>
    <CENTER><B><I><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="+1">&nbsp;</FONT></FONT></FONT></I></B></CENTER>
    <CENTER><B><I><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="+1">CENTRAL
    EUROPE</FONT></FONT></FONT></I></B></CENTER>
    <CENTER><I><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="+0">&nbsp;</FONT></FONT></FONT></I></CENTER>
    <CENTER><I><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="+0">Albania</FONT></FONT></FONT></I></CENTER>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      19</B> Twenty-five hundred Albanians demonstrate in Tirana, asking the
      government to reimburse them for the money they lost in pyramid schemes.
      Over 15% of Albania's 3.2 million people have been victimized by the
      schemes.</FONT></FONT></FONT> </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      25</B> Despite government promises to return to the investors frozen money
      that had been deposited in banks through two bankrupt schemes, 2,000
      protesters call for the resignation of President Berisha's government.
      They physically attack a Cabinet member, Foreign Minister Tritan Shehu,
      who is wounded.</FONT></FONT></FONT> </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      26</B> Throughout the country, tens of thousands of rioters battle
      policemen and set fire to government offices.</FONT></FONT></FONT> </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      28</B> The governing Democratic Party tries to shift the responsibility
      for the pyramid crisis to the Socialists, accusing them of supporting the
      schemes and promoting unrest. For most Albanians, the government is to
      blame for not warning the public about the dangers of pyramid schemes and
      not regulating them.</FONT></FONT></FONT> </P>
    <CENTER><I><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="+0">Bulgaria</FONT></FONT></FONT></I></CENTER>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      3 </B>In Sofia, tens of thousands of protesters demand that the ruling
      Socialist Party give up its power and call for &quot;elections now.&quot;
      The party is in the process of choosing a new candidate for Prime Minister
      after Socialist Prime Minister Zhan Videnov resigned in late December due
      to discontent over his economic policies.</FONT></FONT></FONT> </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      11</B> Frustrated by low wages, high inflation, and rampant crime, 50,000
      protesters trap more than 100 Socialist legislators inside Parliament,
      saying that they will not free the lawmakers until they agree to new
      elections. The legislators escape the scene after the Bulgarian police
      fire warning shots and club the protesters.</FONT></FONT></FONT> </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      12 </B>President Zhelyu Zhelev and the Speaker of Parliament appeal to the
      government to agree to early elections. In power for two years, the
      Socialists have driven the country to virtual bankruptcy: in 1996,
      inflation hit 310%, the local currency--the Lev--went from 70 to 645 to
      the dollar, 15 of Bulgaria's 42 banks went into receivership, and average
      salaries declined to about $30 a month.</FONT></FONT></FONT> </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      13</B> Afraid of losing its power, the Socialist Party announces its
      willingness to enter into a &quot;wide dialogue&quot; with the opposition
      party and to accept new elections in &quot;principle&quot;; but Ivan
      Kostov, the leader of the opposition party, says that the Socialists'
      proposals cannot be trusted.</FONT></FONT></FONT> </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      14 </B>Currently, Bulgaria has only a caretaker Prime Minister, Socialist
      Prime Minister Zhan Videnov, who has resigned but is still in power.
      Although Interior Minister Nikolai Dobrev has been chosen by the Socialist
      Party as the Prime Minister designate, the opposition refuses to allow him
      to be sworn in because Mr. Dobrev recently ordered the police against the
      demonstrators.</FONT></FONT></FONT> </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      15 </B>Thousands of Bulgarian workers stage a walkout to persuade the
      government to give up its power. In one of Bulgaria's largest labor
      unions, Podkrepa, workers strike nationwide for a one hour period.</FONT></FONT></FONT>
    </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      19</B> Petar Stoyanov is sworn in as the new President of Bulgaria. He
      immediately agrees to the protesters' demands for new parliamentary
      elections, and says that the corrupt politicians who have &quot;robbed the
      country&quot; and caused Bulgaria's economic crisis should be punished.</FONT></FONT></FONT>
    </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      27 </B>As required by the Bulgarian Constitution, President Stoyanov
      announces that he will ask the Socialists, the biggest party in
      Parliament, to form a new government. But he also asks them to reject the
      mandate of forming a new government and to agree to the opposition's
      demands for &quot;speedy elections&quot; in order to tackle the economic
      crisis.</FONT></FONT></FONT> </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      28</B> Despite 23 days of opposition protests and threats of a general
      strike, the Socialist Party maintains its intent to form a new government
      under former Interior Minister Nikolai Dobrev, prompting 25,000 students
      and opposition supporters to stage their largest rally. The Socialists
      claim that all political parties will be invited to join them in a
      coalition, and that elections might take place as early as this fall.</FONT></FONT></FONT>
    </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      29 </B>The Socialist Party invites opposition leaders to discuss early
      parliamentary elections but the opposition says it will negotiate only if
      the Socialists give up on their plan to form a new government.</FONT></FONT></FONT>
    </P>
    <CENTER><I><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="+0">Poland</FONT></FONT></FONT></I></CENTER>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>NY
      Times, Jan. 22</B> Polish Chief of General Staff Tadeusz Wilecki refuses
      to turn the military over to civilian control--i.e., to Defense Minister
      Stanislaw Dobrzanski--thus resisting one of the essential conditions that
      Poland must meet before it can be accepted into NATO.</FONT></FONT></FONT>
    </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      23 </B>Poland's top generals reluctantly agree to comply with NATO
      regulations for civilian control of the army. This new NATO criterion has
      led to the elimination of 600 jobs in the Polish general staff.</FONT></FONT></FONT>
    </P>
    <CENTER><B><I><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="+1">EASTERN
    EUROPE</FONT></FONT></FONT></I></B></CENTER>
    <CENTER><B><I><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="+1">&nbsp;</FONT></FONT></FONT></I></B></CENTER>
    <CENTER><I><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="+0">Armenia</FONT></FONT></FONT></I></CENTER>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>NY
      Times, Jan. 3</B> Although Armenia is now at peace (Armenia and Azerbaijan
      fought for six years over the ethnic Armenian enclave of Nagorno-Karabakh
      in Azerbaijan) and its economy has improved by about 7% a year over the
      past two years, the country is drifting towards dictatorship. The trend
      started in 1994 when President Levon Ter-Petrossian banned a major
      opposition party and began restricting the press; it rose this year with
      flawed presidential elections (in which Mr. Ter-Petrossian narrowly won)
      and increased human rights violations.</FONT></FONT></FONT> </P>
    <CENTER><I><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="+0">Georgia</FONT></FONT></FONT></I></CENTER>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>NY
      Times, Jan. 12 </B>The former Soviet Republic of Georgia, a nation of 5.5
      million, has been redirecting its economy away from Russia and towards the
      West (in particular Turkey) since it became independent in 1991. But a
      combination of geography and reluctance by the West to become entangled in
      the Caucasus have forced Georgia to turn to Russia for security. In
      exchange for five military bases in Georgia, Russia has promised Georgia
      its help in regaining the province of Abkhazia (in which secessionists
      have caused a civil war) and Russian border guards patrol Georgia's
      frontiers. Georgian officials claim, however, that Russia is causing more
      problems than it helps and they have quietly sought to replace Russian
      border troops by asking Germany and the United States for assistance.</FONT></FONT></FONT>
    </P>
    <CENTER><I><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="+0">Russia</FONT></FONT></FONT></I></CENTER>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      8 </B>Two months after his quintuple bypass surgery, President Yeltsin is
      hospitalized with pneumonia.</FONT></FONT></FONT> </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      13 </B>Responding to American concerns that a supply of highly-enriched
      uranium and spent nuclear fuel at a research reactor near Tbilisi,
      Georgia, could fall into the hands of terrorists or &quot;would-be&quot;
      nuclear powers, Viktor Mikhailov, the head of Russia's Ministry of Atomic
      Energy, pledges that Moscow will arrange for transfer of the material to
      Russia for safekeeping by March. (Mr. Mikhailov offered similar assurances
      last year, however.) Mr. Mikhailov also announces Moscow's plans to build
      nuclear power plants in China, India, and Iran as a way to deal with the
      financial crunch of the Russian nuclear industry.</FONT></FONT></FONT>
    </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      20 </B>Hoping to raise money to pay the $3 billion debt Russia owes to its
      labor force and, at the same time, reestablish the government's monopoly
      on the production and sale of liquor (black-market counterfeiters and
      smugglers account for 70% of the market), President Yeltsin doubles taxes
      on vodka to the equivalent of $7 a liter.</FONT></FONT></FONT> </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1">President
      Yeltsin returns to his home where he will work part-time until he is fully
      recovered.</FONT></FONT></FONT> </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      22</B> Frustrated by President Yeltsin's seven-month absence from the
      Kremlin because of his failing health, the Russian Parliament
      overwhelmingly agrees to remove the President from his position. The vote
      has no legal force but the legislators insist that measures must be taken
      immediately to rescue an &quot;economically depressed Russia.&quot;</FONT></FONT></FONT>
    </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1">In
      Washington for President Clinton's inauguration, Gen. Aleksandr Lebed
      visits with American business leaders in an effort to seek their support
      and portray himself as a man who can lead Russia toward democratic reform.</FONT></FONT></FONT>
    </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      24</B> President Yeltsin's spokesman, Sergei Yastrzhembsky, announces that
      the President will not return to the Kremlin soon. The President's press
      service also states that a Jan. 29 meeting of the leaders of the 12 former
      Soviet republics has been postponed indefinitely.</FONT></FONT></FONT>
    </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>NY
      Times, Jan. 27 </B>A NASA project to build an international space station
      with 15 nations is being threatened by Russia's delay (for financial
      reasons) in building a module that is vital to the station's success. The
      project, which was conceived as a symbol of &quot;a new era of East-West
      accord&quot; by fostering a new kind of global teamwork, requires the
      Russian module in order to move forward.</FONT></FONT></FONT> </P>
    <CENTER><I><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="+0">Russia/Belarus</FONT></FONT></FONT></I></CENTER>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      13</B> In a letter to Belarus hard-line President Aleksandr Lukashenko,
      President Yeltsin proposes the &quot;strategic idea&quot; of a referendum
      to unify the two countries &quot;in one form or another.&quot; A senior
      Kremlin official comments that the unification of Russia and Belarus could
      be &quot;the best response to NATO's plans for eastward expansion.&quot;</FONT></FONT></FONT>
    </P>
    <CENTER><I><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="+0">Russia/Chechnya</FONT></FONT></FONT></I></CENTER>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      23 </B>In elections scheduled for Jan. 27, sixteen presidential candidates
      vie for control over the Chechen Republic. While all candidates favor
      independence from Russia, the five leading contenders vow to restore order
      and to establish an Islamic society.</FONT></FONT></FONT> </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      26</B> In preparation for the presidential and parliamentary elections,
      the Chechens have taken great care to insure that their elections--which
      represent their first step in &quot;an inexorable march to independence&quot;--are
      perceived as fair by Russia and the rest of the world. They have invited
      over 100 foreign observers, primarily from the Organization for Security
      and Cooperation in Europe, to monitor the voting.</FONT></FONT></FONT>
    </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      27 </B>Approximately 513,000 voters cast their ballots in the first
      democratic elections in Chechnya.</FONT></FONT></FONT> </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      28</B> With 64.8% of the votes, Aslan Maskhadov, the commander-in-chief of
      the armed forces who negotiated the peace treaty with Russia, is elected
      President of Chechnya in elections deemed &quot;free and fair&quot; by
      foreign and Russian observers alike. Mild-mannered and reserved, Mr.
      Maskhadov appeared low-key and moderate during the election campaign.</FONT></FONT></FONT>
    </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      30</B> The new Chechen president, Aslan Maskhadov, asks his former
      presidential-candidate rival, Shamil Basayev, to join the new government.</FONT></FONT></FONT>
    </P>
    <CENTER><I><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="+0">Tajikistan</FONT></FONT></FONT></I></CENTER>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>NY
      Times, Jan. 6 </B>Four years of civil war within the former Soviet
      Republic of Tajikistan, between clans backed by Moscow and rival clans
      based in Afghanistan, have destroyed order in the country and turned it
      into &quot;a patchwork of entrenched, increasingly independent factions&quot;
      whose leaders are competing for power. President Imomali Rakhmonov, who,
      with Russia's backing, signed a cease-fire with his rivals in December in
      Moscow, lacks the necessary influence to bring about the peace.</FONT></FONT></FONT>
    </P>
    <CENTER><B><I><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="+1">THE
    FORMER YUGOSLAVIA</FONT></FONT></FONT></I></B></CENTER>
    <CENTER><I><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="+0">Bosnia</FONT></FONT></FONT></I></CENTER>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      3 </B>After a three-month delay, Bosnia's first postwar government starts
      work, with the first meeting of the two chambers of the joint Parliament
      of Bosnian Serbs, Muslims, and Croats.</FONT></FONT></FONT> </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      5 </B>According to World Bank and International Monetary Fund officials,
      international efforts to rebuild war-torn Bosnia are going well although,
      by year 2000, per capita income is expected to be only two-thirds of its
      prewar levels.</FONT></FONT></FONT> </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      12 </B>While NATO forces are confident in their ability to prevent the
      military forces of Bosnia's factions from starting another war, they see a
      danger to peace in the Bosnian local police forces. These forces, which
      are trained to operate as small military units and are under the command
      of nationalists, are monitored only by 1,600 unarmed international police
      officers who work for the U.N. According to international monitors, they
      have stockpiled arms and ammunition in preparation for conflict.</FONT></FONT></FONT>
    </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      29</B> Former rivals in the 1993-1994 war, Bosnia's Croats and Muslims
      take final steps to form a joint army. With orders signed by Alija
      Izetbegovic, the Muslim leader of Bosnia's collective presidency, and
      Kresimir Zubak, the Croatian president of the Croat-Muslim Federation, the
      Muslim-led Bosnian army commander, Gen. Rasim Delic, is appointed head of
      the joint command. Gen. Zivko Budimir, a Croat, becomes the chief of
      staff.</FONT></FONT></FONT> </P>
    <CENTER><I><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="+0">Serbia</FONT></FONT></FONT></I></CENTER>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      3 </B>Despite street protests and demands that he be ousted, President
      Slobodan Milosevic rejects a call by the Organization for Security and
      Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) to reinstate opposition victories in local
      elections. In December, the OSCE issued a report that supported the
      opposition's claim of victories.</FONT></FONT></FONT> </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      5 </B>Tens of thousands of opposition demonstrators defy a police ban on
      street marches and immobilize the capital city of Belgrade. Daily
      protests, now entering their 7<SUP>th</SUP> week, started after the
      government of President Milosevic annulled the election victories of the
      opposition (Zajedno) in 14 of 19 major cities in Serbia.</FONT></FONT></FONT>
    </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      6 </B>President Milosevic's opponents stage one of their largest rallies
      on the Orthodox Christmas Eve.</FONT></FONT></FONT> </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      8</B> In an attempt to appease his rivals, President Milosevic
      acknowledges that the opposition won control of Nis, Serbia's second
      largest city. The protesters claim, however, that the Socialist Party must
      relinquish local power in Belgrade and in the other contested cities too.</FONT></FONT></FONT>
    </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      13</B> The local electoral commission in Nis rejects the government's
      pledge to honor the election results and refuses to give control of the
      city to the opposition coalition. The refusal may indicate a weakening of
      control from Belgrade and the hard-liners' continued rejection of a
      peaceful solution.</FONT></FONT></FONT> </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      14 </B>Indicating for the first time the government's willingness to
      relinquish its hold on the capital, the electoral commissions in both
      Belgrade and Nis announce that the opposition victories should be
      respected. Opposition leaders keep insisting, however, that protests will
      continue until the Government recognizes all of their victories.</FONT></FONT></FONT>
    </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      21 </B>The Serbian government announces that no indication of fraud has
      been detected in 8 of the 14 municipal elections-a statement that weakens
      the Socialist Party's case for nullifying the opposition victories.</FONT></FONT></FONT>
    </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      27 </B>After 69 days of protests, President Milosevic is now conceding to
      the opposition control of Nis and 5 other towns, but retains control of
      Belgrade and a dozen other towns that the opposition apparently won.</FONT></FONT></FONT>
    </P>
    <CENTER><I><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="+0">Serbia/Croatia</FONT></FONT></FONT></I></CENTER>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      18, reported in NY Times Jan. 21</B> In eastern Slavonia, a Serb-held
      enclave under U.N. administration which is to be returned to Croatia on 15
      July 1997, tensions are rising among the 120,000 Serbs who live there
      (half of whom are refugees from other parts of Croatia), fearful that the
      Croatian government will not allow them to stay. Under the Dayton
      agreement, Croatia promised that the Serbs could remain as citizens of
      Croatia (even though they seized the region by force in 1991), but so far
      it has denied the Serbs &quot;minimal guarantees&quot; about job security,
      political representation, and citizenship.</FONT></FONT></FONT> </P>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>NY
      Times, Jan. 27 </B>Fifteen months after signing the Dayton Accord, the
      situation of the two men who looked like guarantors of stability in Bosnia
      has changed. Serbian President Slobodan Milosevic barely holds on to power
      in the face of protests in Serbia, and Croatian President Franjo Tudjman
      is gravely ill with cancer. As a result, the Clinton Administration has
      begun shifting its policy to supporting Mr. Milosevic's opponents, looking
      beyond Mr. Tudjman to identify new Croatian leaders, and making plans to
      arrest some of the 70 people indicted for war crimes.</FONT></FONT></FONT>
    </P>
    <CENTER><B><I><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="+1">WESTERN
    EUROPE/EASTERN EUROPE</FONT></FONT></FONT></I></B></CENTER>
    <CENTER><I><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="+0">Central
    European Countries</FONT></FONT></FONT></I></CENTER>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>NY
      Times, Jan. 2 </B>To join NATO, the military of Central European countries
      must unlearn their Soviet training and become &quot;inter-operable&quot;
      with NATO, i.e., be able to set up a defense in a NATO way. Hungary, the
      Czech Republic and Poland are learning these techniques in exercises with
      the Partnership for Peace program, in Bosnia (along with U.S. and British
      soldiers), and through basic reeducation in Western military schools. A
      year ago, for example, Hungary's top officers were exclusively Soviet
      trained; today, 7 of the top 10 officers have been trained on both sides.</FONT></FONT></FONT>
    </P>
    <CENTER><I><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="+0">Czech
    Republic/Germany</FONT></FONT></FONT></I></CENTER>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      21 </B>Ending a cycle of attack and retaliation that began in the late
      1930s, Czech Prime Minister V&aacute;clav Klaus and German Chancellor
      Helmut Kohl sign an agreement that acknowledges the wrongs their two
      countries committed against each other. Germany asks for forgiveness for
      the crimes committed on Czechs by the Nazis when they occupied the Czech
      lands beginning in 1938, and the Czech Republic expresses deep regret for
      the violent expulsion of approximately three million Sudeten Germans in
      1945 and 1946.</FONT></FONT></FONT> </P>
    <CENTER><I><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="+0">NATO/Russia</FONT></FONT></FONT></I></CENTER>
    
    <P><FONT FACE="Palatino"><FONT COLOR="#000000"><FONT SIZE="-1"><B>Jan.
      30 </B>Addressing political and business leaders at the World Economic
      Forum in Davos, Switzerland, Russian Prime Minister Viktor Chernomyrdin
      states that Russia will not accept NATO &quot;infrastructure&quot; on its
      borders, hinting that Russia might in effect accept the Alliance's
      expansion if it does not include stationing military equipment or foreign
      soldiers in neighboring countries.</FONT></FONT></FONT> <BR>&nbsp; </P>
    
    <P></P>
    <HR WIDTH="100%">
    
    <P><BR>
      <FONT COLOR="#083250"><FONT SIZE="-2">Copyright @ Center for Strategic
      Decision Research 1998</FONT></FONT> <BR><FONT COLOR="#083250"><FONT SIZE="-2">Strategic Decision Press</FONT></FONT>
    </P>
    
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