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   <TITLE>Hungarian Foreign Affairs Minister Dr. L&auml;szlo K&ouml;v&auml;cs ...Central Europe's Emerging Security Environment: A Hungarian View</TITLE>
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<CENTER><FONT SIZE=+4>Central Europe's Emerging Security Environment:</FONT></CENTER>

<CENTER><FONT SIZE=+4>A Hungarian View</FONT></CENTER>

<CENTER><FONT SIZE=+3>Hungarian Minister of Foreign Affairs Dr. L&auml;szlo
K&ouml;v&auml;cs</FONT></CENTER>

<CENTER><B><FONT SIZE=+1>A HISTORY OF WESTERN?HUNGARIAN RELATIONS</FONT></B></CENTER>


<P>Hungary has long been seeking ways to broaden its economic capabilities
and its foreign relationships, in particular to establish more contacts
and to improve cooperation with the countries of the Euro?Atlantic community.
As early as 1981, we joined the International Monetary Fund and the World
Bank. In 1982, we started talks with the European Economic Communities
which, six years later, resulted in full?scale diplomatic relations. Hungary
was the very first country in the Central European region to establish
diplomatic relations with the European Communities.

<P>Nineteen eighty?four was a crucial year in East?West relations. Although
talks on strategic and medium?range nuclear missiles had been broken off
by the Soviets in Geneva the year before, in 1984 Hungary, a Warsaw Pact
country, was visited by the Prime Ministers of Great Britain, Italy, Germany,
and Belgium. With these visits, Hungary contributed toward maintaining
the dialogue between East and West during a critical time.

<P>In 1986, we made the first contact with the Council of Europe, where
we were given Special Guest status in 1989. In 1988, Hungary established
contacts with the North Atlantic Assembly and, in 1989, we opened the border
for the refugees coming from the German Democratic Republic.
<CENTER><B><FONT SIZE=+1>THE NEW WORLD ORDER</FONT></B></CENTER>


<P>What are the characteristics of the world order today? They are very
different from those of six years ago. The Soviet Union has disintegrated
and the Warsaw Pact and Comecon have ceased to exist. Bipolarity has come
to an end, and the possibility of an all?out East?West confrontation has
faded away. The new international environment has certainly fostered democratic
opposition to the communist system and has helped the reform forces inside
the former Central and Eastern European communist parties to initiate and
carry out an ongoing process of political and economic transformation.

<P>Thanks to this transition from a one?party system to a multi?party parliamentary
democracy, and from a command economy to market economy, Central and Eastern
European countries have become compatible with the countries of the Euro?Atlantic
community. This process has brought bipolarity to an end and made conditions
available for a new democratic international order. This order is no longer
based on deterrence or military balance but on cooperation and partnership.
<CENTER><B><FONT SIZE=+1>Economic and Social Problems</FONT></B></CENTER>


<P>During the bipolar era, high risk and high stability prevailed in Central
and Eastern Europe. Today, however, the area is characterized by low risk
and low stability. This situation has come about as an unavoidable side
effect of the political and economic transition. The resulting economic
problems, such as internal and international debts, budget deficits, foreign
trade deficits, the high rate of inflation, growing unemployment, insufficient
welfare systems, and a growing frustration because of the widening gap
between the rich and the poor have brought with them social tension. Due
to the lack of experience with democratic traditions and multi?party parliamentary
processes, this social tension may now become a breeding ground for extremist
tendencies.
<CENTER><B><FONT SIZE=+1>The Danger of Nationalism</FONT></B></CENTER>


<P>Social problems may also fuel nationalism in the region; nationalism
has deep roots in the area and has surfaced again, sometimes in radical
or aggressive forms. This nationalism can be seen in border?challenging
territorial claims; in ambitions to create ethnically homogeneous nation?states,
which is nonsense in a region that is traditionally multi?ethnic; in the
violation of human and minority rights and in ethnic cleansing. Radical
and aggressive nationalism can lead to ethnic conflicts and to mass migration,
such as we have witnessed in the former Yugoslavia and elsewhere in less
dramatic forms. It can also produce tension in inter?state relations and
foment security problems such as organized crime, international terrorism,
and pollution.
<CENTER><B><FONT SIZE=+1>THE NEED FOR A EUROPE?WIDE SECURITY SYSTEM</FONT></B></CENTER>


<P>All of these problems pose the danger of a new division?one between
a secure, stable, prosperous Western Europe and an unpredictable Central
and Eastern Europe lacking security, lacking stability, and facing economic
and social problems. An unstable Eastern Europe will certainly have negative
implications on the stability and security of the western part of the continent.

<P>To avoid this we need a united Europe based on common history, common
cultural heritage, common democratic values, and common interests?in security,
stability, and prosperity.

<P>The security risks I have outlined are closely interrelated and of great
complexity. They require a complex response. This response must provide
security and stability on a Europe?wide scale and serve as the security
model for the 21st century. The first element of this new architecture
is <I>indivisibility of security and stability</I>. Such indivisibility
means that the security measures in the various parts of the continent
must be closely interrelated, and that security in Western Europe cannot
be guaranteed without security and stability in Central and Eastern Europe.

<P>The second important element is the <I>nature of security</I>. In recent
years the significance of military components has been decreasing while
that of non?military factors, such as economic, social, human and minority
rights and ecological elements, has gained ground. This element emphasizes
the importance of every country's internal stability because instability
in any country in Europe can destabilize not only its own environment but
also the region and Europe as a whole.

<P>The third important element is <I>security cooperation</I>, not only
in mutual reinforcement and interlocking security structures but also in
active involvement and contributions by each country to the common security.
Until any single country feels isolated, Europe?wide security will not
be achieved.

<P>The new all?European security architecture must also be integrated into
worldwide security. For example, close relationships should be established
between the different European security architectures and their Asian counterparts,
as well as the Organization of Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE).
An all?European security architecture should be based on a network of mutually
reinforcing and interlocking international, regional, or bilateral security
institutions, structures, and arrangements.

<P>First, it must be based on an enlarged NATO, the European Union, the
Western European Union, and the Council of Europe. Second, it must be based
on special arrangements between the Euro?Atlantic institutions and countries
such as Russia, Ukraine, and Belarus that are not expected to join. Third,
it must be based on regional structures of cooperation, such as the Central
European Initiative, the Visegrad Group or CEFTA countries, the Black Sea
Economic Cooperation, and the Baltic Sea or the Barents Sea Cooperation.
Fourth, it must be based on bilateral treaties between neighboring countries,
providing a framework for increasing cooperation and for finding solutions
to controversial issues. A specific all?European dimension has been given
to these bilateral treaties by the European stability pact, which has incorporated
these bilateral treaties. And an all?European security architecture must
be based on the OSCE, which is the only present pan-European, all?European
security structure with crisis prevention, crisis management, and post?conflict
rehabilitation capabilities.
<CENTER><B><FONT SIZE=+1>NATO ENLARGEMENT</FONT></B></CENTER>


<P>The enlargement of NATO is certainly the key to the entire idea. I fully
agree with President Kwasniewski that there is no credible security architecture
in Europe without NATO and without an enlarging NATO. This is because enlargement
is no more and no less than an adaptation to the new security environment,
no more and no less than an adaptation to the new security environment,
no more and no less than the expansion of the zone of security and stability
in Central and Eastern Europe, which is home to countries that share the
same values and want to benefit from, and contribute to, security.

<P>There are two crucial issues involved in enlargement: first, the preparation
the applicant states must undertake to reach the levels of conformity,
interoperability, and compatibility that are necessary to be eligible for
accession; and second, the way the Alliance will deal with countries such
as the Russian Federation, Ukraine, and Belarus that do not wish to join
and how it will deal with countries that are eager to join but might not
be admitted with the first group.

<P>In this respect, I want to emphasize the important role of Partnership
for Peace (PFP). PFP and the Individual Partnership programs have enormously
contributed to the preparation of the applicant countries. In addition,
the IFOR operation would not be so effective and successful without PFP.
IFOR has provided extremely important experiences that, once evaluated
and considered, will further improve and upgrade PFP. PFP and operations
such as IFOR have also provided opportunities for countries that will not
join NATO, or at least not in the first wave, to cooperate with NATO members
and non?NATO members and to participate in joint actions.
<CENTER><B><FONT SIZE=+1>HUNGARY AND EURO?ATLANTIC INTEGRATION</FONT></B></CENTER>


<P>We in Hungary wish to fully and organically integrate with the Euro?Atlantic
community, a step that would guarantee security, stability, economic and
social development, and economic and social modernization for our country.
For Hungary, the enlargement of NATO and the European Union is a window
of opportunity. We want our full?scale integration to cover political,
economic, security, security policy dimensions as well as common defense.
We want to join NATO and we want to join the European Union. We want to
achieve full?fledged membership with all rights and commitments, and to
share benefits as well as burdens. We want to become a member as soon as
possible, as soon as we are able to meet the criteria. We are also interested
in having as many countries in our region as possible, particularly our
immediate neighbors, become members?all those that meet the conditions
and qualify for membership.
<CENTER><B><FONT SIZE=+1>Hungarian Preparation for Membership</FONT></B></CENTER>


<P>Our preparation for accession includes several points: the reform of
the Hungarian armed forces, improving civilian control, and improving defense
planning and training to conform to NATO requirements. It also includes
increasing the level of interoperability and active participation in PFP
and IFOR, such as providing a battalion of engineers as well as support
and logistics bases on Hungarian soil. We are also working to increase
domestic stability in Hungary, including economic and financial stability.
And last but not least, we are contributing to regional stability. We have
signed basic treaties with Russia, Ukraine, Croatia, Slovenia and Slovakia,
and have been working on a similar treaty with Romania. We also hope to
have a similar bilateral treaty with Yugoslavia one day. We have extremely
good relations with Austria although we do not have a basic bilateral treaty.

<P>In addition to signing basic treaties with Romania and Slovakia, we
have been doing a great deal to improve cooperation. While relations between
Hungary and Slovakia are sometimes falsely considered a potential threat
to the stability of the region, trade increased by 50% between Hungary
and Slovakia, and by 80% between Hungary and Romania in one year. We have
established thousands of joint ventures. A number of new checkpoints on
the Hungarian?Slovak and Hungarian?Romanian borders have been opened. We
have considerably improved cooperation among the militaries of all three
countries. That is why we hope that the regular, high?level political contacts,
the ongoing dialogue, and the wide?ranging cooperation now in effect will
increase the potential for solving the problems we still have.

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