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<title>Center for Strategic Decision Research, Peter Struck, Michele Alliot-Marie, General George Joulwan, SACEUR, General James L. Jones, SHAPE, NATO, EU, BDLI, ILA, EADS, Northrop Grumman, Under Secretary Michael Wynne, Assistant Secretary Linton Wells, Ambassador William Burns, NATO Military Committee Chairman General Harald Kujat, General Dynamics, Boeing, Global Security Terrorism, Iraq, Afghanistan, Rainer Hertrich, David Stafford</title>
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        <td width="66" height="68"><p><img src="../2004book/logo-kevin-web.jpg" width="60" height="66"></p>        </td>
        <td width="538"><div align="center"><span class="style5">22nd International Workshop on Global Security<br>
<em>Chantilly/Paris, 10-12 June 2005 </em><br>
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      <p align="center" class="style17"><strong>Table of Contents</strong></p>
      <p align="left" class="style17"><span class="style18"><span class="style219"> </span><span class="style219"><a href="preface.htm">Preface</a></span></span></p>
      <p align="center" class="style17">Part 1 </p>
      <p align="left" class="style17"><a href="alliotmarie.htm">French Defense Minister Michele Alliot-Marie (English version) </a><span class="style217"><strong></strong></span><span class="style217"><strong><a href="alliotmarie-french.htm">French Defense Minister Michele Alliot-Marie (French version) </a><a href="reid.htm">UK Defense Minister John Reid</a></strong></span><span class="style217"><strong><a href="graham.htm">Canadian Defense Minister Bill Graham </a></strong></span><span class="style219"><a href="weissingerbaylon.htm">Workshop Chairman Dr. Roger Weissinger-Baylon </a></span><span class="style219"> </span><span class="style219"><a href="liska.htm">Slovak Defense Minister Juraj Liska </a></span><span class="style219"><a href="erjavec.htm">Slovenian Defense Minister Karl Erjavec </a></span><span class="style219"> </span><span class="style219"><a href="svinarov.htm">Bulgarian Defense Minister Nikolay Svinarov </a></span><span class="style219"><a href="kujat.htm">NATO Military Committee Chair Gen Harald Kujat </a></span><span class="style219"> </span><span class="style219"><a href="koenig.htm">Acting US Ambassador to NATO John Koenig </a></span><span class="style219"><a href="schuwirth.htm">SHAPE Chief of Staff Gen Rainer Schuwirth </a></span><span class="style219"> </span><span class="style219"><a href="back.htm">Allied Joint Force Command Brunssum Cmdr Gen Gerhard Back </a></span></p>
      <p align="center" class="style17">Part 2 </p>
      <p align="left" class="style17"><span class="style219"><a href="perrindebrichambaut.htm">French MOD Dir for Strat Affairs Amb Marc Perrin de Brichambaut </a></span><span class="style219"> </span><span class="style219"><a href="dipaola.htm">Italian Chief of Defense Adm Giampaolo Di Paola </a></span><span class="style219"><a href="naumann.htm">fmr German Chief of Defense Gen  Klaus Naumann </a></span><span class="style219"> </span><span class="style219"><a href="perruche.htm">EU Military Staff Director Gen Jean-Paul Perruche </a></span><span class="style219"><a href="klein.htm">US Assist to Secretary of Defense Dale Klein </a></span><span class="style219"> </span><span class="style219"><a href="gergorin.htm">EADS Exec Vice President Jean-Louis Gergorin </a></span><span class="style219"><a href="george.htm">UK Parliament Member Bruce George </a></span><span class="style219"> </span><span class="style219"><a href="ranque.htm">Thales Chairman &amp; CEO Denis Ranque</a></span><span class="style219"><a href="tarasyuk.htm">Ukranian Foreign Minister Borys Tarasyuk </a></span><span class="style219"> </span><span class="style219"><a href="fasslabend.htm">Austrian Natl Assembly Member Minister Werner Fasslabend</a></span><span class="style219"><a href="pickering.htm">Boeing Sr Vice President Amb Thomas Pickering</a></span><a href="rooseveltinstitution.htm">Roosevelt Institution </a></p>
      <p align="center" class="style17">Part 3 </p>
      <p align="left" class="style17"><span class="style219"> </span><span class="style219"><a href="auroy.htm">French MOD DGA Force Systems &amp; Cooperation Director Patrick Auroy </a></span><span class="style219"><a href="lind.htm">Swedish Natl Armaments Director Jan-Olof Lind </a></span><span class="style219"> </span><span class="style219"><a href="weise.htm">German Armaments Dir Hans-Heinrich Weise </a></span><span class="style219"><a href="volkman.htm">US Under Secretary of Defense Office Intl Coop Director Alfred Volkman </a></span><span class="style219"> </span><span class="style219"><a href="stanhope.htm">Dep Supreme Allied Cmdr Transformation Admiral Sir Mark Stanhope </a></span><span class="style219"><a href="lahoud.htm">MBDA President &amp; CEO Marwan Lahoud </a></span><span class="style219"> </span><span class="style219"><a href="courtot.htm">SAFRAN Sr Vice President Francois Courtot </a></span><span class="style219"><a href="bertolone.htm">Alenia Aeronautica CEO Giovanni Bertolone </a></span><span class="style219"> </span><span class="style219"><a href="harris.htm">Lockheed Martin President Scott Harris </a></span><span class="style219"><a href="schneider.htm">Northrop Grumman President Kent Schneider </a></span><span class="style219"> </span><span class="style219"><a href="wells.htm">US Assist Secretary of Defense Linton Wells </a></span><span class="style219"><a href="vice.htm">Northrop Grumman Vice President Thomas Vice</a></span></p>
      <p align="center" class="style17">Part 4 </p>
      <p align="left" class="style17"><span class="style219"> </span><span class="style219"><a href="novotny.htm">Czech Ambassador to India Jaromir Novotny </a></span><span class="style219"><a href="rinkevics.htm">Latvian MOD State Secretary Edgars Rinkevics</a></span><span class="style219"><a href="plangu.htm">Romanian MOD State Secretary for Policy Ion Mircea Plangu </a></span><span class="style219"> </span><span class="style219"><a href="kouts.htm">Estonian Defense Forces Cmdr Adm Tarmo Kouts </a></span><br>
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        <h1 align="center" class="style20"><strong>The EU and NATO&mdash;Organizations in Need of a  Fresh Look<br>
          <br>
        </strong></h1>
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              <td width="78"> <em><img width="75" height="87" src="naumann_clip_image002.jpg"></em> </td>
              <td width="1">&nbsp;</td>
              <td width="288"><div align="center"><span class="style28">General Klaus Naumann (Ret.)<br>
  Former Chief of Defense of Germany</span></div></td>
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        <p align="center" class="style29">INTRODUCTION</p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">Any description of today&rsquo;s state of  transatlantic affairs must begin with a brief look at several issues: The  relationship between the U.S.  and Europe; the status of both the U.S.  and the EU; the threat perceptions on both sides of the Atlantic;  the approaches chosen to achieve security. I will focus on how these issues  affect NATO since there are others who are much better qualified than I am to  talk about the EU.&nbsp; </p>
        <p align="center" class="style29">THE RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN THE U.S. AND EUROPE&nbsp;&nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">Europe, Canada, and the U.S.  achieved an historic and common success in ending the Cold War on their terms,  bringing to an end the three wars fought in Europe between 1914 and 1991 over  the question of an order for Europe. But  although it was a common success, the U.S.  and Europe arrived at different conclusions  concerning how this success was brought about.&nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">The Europeans, tired of the  wars that are still fresh in the memories of many, and wary of confrontation,  saw the success as the result of a combination of strength and the  determination to resist&mdash;the result of modern democratic societies&rsquo; patient  diplomacy, which was used to penetrate and indeed open the Iron Curtain. Some  Europeans concluded that the very same approach could help to stabilize Europe  and its periphery and to cope with the unrest that so often accompanies the  demise of a great empire such as the Soviet Union.  Europe indeed pursued this course of action throughout the dramas over Yugoslavia,  although it brought Europeans quite often to the brink of appeasement. The  majority of Europeans still pursue this course today, since Europeans  concentrate primarily on domestic affairs and the consolidation of Europe.&nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">The American conclusion was  very different. Americans saw the success in winning the Cold War as a triumph  of strength and resolve. The U.S. emerged from the Cold War as the world&rsquo;s sole  superpower and began to dream of becoming invulnerable and of being capable of  establishing a new world order based on human rights, the rule of law, and  democracy&mdash;all brought about, if necessary, by using the country&rsquo;s multifaceted  and dominating power.&nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">This American dream came to  a brutal end on the sunny morning of September 11, 2001. The world and indeed  Europe rallied behind the U.S.  on that day as did NATO a day later, when it invoked Article 5 for the first  time ever. But the day that was a triumph of Alliance solidarity turned out to mark the  beginning of NATO&rsquo;s most severe crisis.&nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">The U.S. was  determined to react to the act of terrorism but the American government wanted  to do it alone and on its own terms. This attitude, reinforced by European  military weakness and by the quick military success in Afghanistan, had an influence on the American  approach to Iraq.&nbsp;However, the attitude of some European allies concerning the Iraq crisis divided Europe, reduced Europe&rsquo;s influence  on Washington  to almost zero, and strengthened those who do not favor standing alliances  because of their intrinsic characteristic of shared decision making.&nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">NATO had a near-death  experience during the crisis when, as then-U.S. Ambassador Nick Burns put it,  the arrogance of power met the arrogance of the impotent, who felt they were on  the moral high ground.&nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">While the dispute is over,  the differences remain. My conclusion on the state of NATO at this time is  therefore:&nbsp; </p>
        <ul type="disc" class="style21">
          <li>NATO is indeed no longer the primary place of       transatlantic consultation. &nbsp; </li>
          <li>It is no longer the option of choice for all NATO       nations engaged in crisis management. &nbsp; </li>
          <li>There is no real agreement on how to cope with       future crises since there are gaps between the U.S. viewpoint and its       allies&rsquo; on several issues: 1. The resolve to use all necessary means,       including military means; 2. The capability to act across the full       spectrum of political options; 3. Military capabilities; 4. The absence of       the political will in most European countries and in Canada to take       appropriate steps to modernize their armed forces; 5. Quite a few       different viewpoints on the future role of NATO, ranging from a global       alliance ready to act in expeditionary operations where needed to an       alliance more or less reduced to collective defense plus some PSOs. &nbsp; </li>
        </ul>
        <p align="center" class="style28 style30"><strong>THE STATUS OF THE U.S. AND THE  EU&nbsp;</strong> </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">The two key players, the U.S. and the  EU, are not as healthy as they should be, and they act in an international  environment governed by fragility.&nbsp; The U.S. is undoubtedly the dominant  and indeed the only global power in all areas of politics, ranging from the  cultural to the military domain. But American dominance has been acquired by  leaving huge domestic and social problems unresolved and is being paid for by  borrowing money from foreign nations, in particular from eastern Asia. The  incredible amount of 780 billion USD held by Japan  and the 180 billion held by China  do not bode well for American sustainability if one takes into account the  growing double deficit in the U.S.  trade balance and the U.S.  budget. The Chinese in particular have a powerful weapon in their hands, and if  they one day decide to use it this would not only hurt them but also could get  the U.S.  and most other nations down on their knees economically. The U.S., the  undisputed and indeed irreplaceable leader of NATO, is therefore in a fragile  position of power.&nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">Turning to Europe we see that the European Union is still struggling  to digest the two severe blows it received when the French and the Dutch voters  rejected the European Constitution draft. While these votes will not mean the  end of the EU, they do mark the end of the plan to enlarge the Union while simultaneously deepening its integration. As  a consequence, invitations to other nations to join may well wither away,  although all Europeans know that there is no better way to resolve the many  unresolved European problems than through integration&mdash;it is the approach that  may help to solve the troubles in the Balkans, the powder keg in the Caucasus,  through to the difficulties in Ukraine.  In my view Europe must stick to its vision of a Europe whole and free, and both  NATO and the EU must keep their doors open so that the ghastly ghosts of  nationalism never haunt Europe again.&nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">However, the likely  consequence of the fragile status of the two key players is that they might  increasingly focus on internal issues instead of the international situation,  which with all its uncertainty requires concentrated and well-coordinated  transatlantic cooperation. The U.S.  and the EU need to take stock regarding where they stand as well as how they  should cooperate, since the crises will not wait until the two sort out how  they should work together. &nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">Russian fragility is  another area that requires a coordinated response because its domestic movement  toward a quasi-authoritarian regime gives us as much reason for concern as does  its heavy-handed approach toward the unrest in its Caucasian underbelly. Russia is doing  well economically but its wealth is being paid for by the export of  commodities, and far too little of its revenue is being reinvested in the  repair of the results of almost 80 years of socialist mismanagement. Russia&rsquo;s industrial  sector is not close to being competitive on the world market and the country  struggles with a demographic problem reinforced by the serious spread of  illnesses such as AIDS and tuberculosis. The Russian population will probably  shrink to less than 100 million within the next 50 years or so while the  illegal settlement of Chinese immigrants in eastern Siberia  may well grow beyond the over one million illegal Chinese immigrants of today.  For this reason alone Russia  may not be able to be a pole in the multi-polar world of which her leaders  speak so often.&nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">Concerning the broader  Middle East, the U.S.  and the EU must work together on the many questions waiting for resolution in  that troubled area of the world. None of the problems, including the Israeli-Palestinian  issue, Iraq, and Iran, to name but a few, can be solved without  the greatest amount of cooperation between the U.S. and the EU. &nbsp; </p>
        <p align="center" class="style28"><strong>CURRENT AND FUTURE RISKS&nbsp;</strong> </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">In a discussion of risks I  can be very brief indeed. Experts in NATO as well as in the NATO nations do not  suffer from a lack of threat awareness, and there is relatively strong  consensus among NATO, the EU, the U.S.,  and U.S.  allies on the scope and nature of the threats NATO and the EU confront. The  differences lay in the political preparedness to make the public aware of the  threats and in offering views on how to cope with these transnational threats,  including views on the use of military force.&nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">All of you are better aware  than I am of the uncertainties, risks, and dangers ahead of us, and to offer  you a risk assessment would be like carrying coals to Newcastle. We all know what we are up against  and we all are probably convinced that there is but one approach left to us,  namely, to stand shoulder to shoulder as we did in the darkest hours of the  Cold War.&nbsp;</p>
        <p align="center" class="style28 style30"><strong>THE ABILITY TO ACT&nbsp;</strong> </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">Both NATO and the EU are  not fully prepared to respond to future crises properly. NATO&rsquo;s 1999 Strategic  Concept is to some degree outdated and in line neither with the U.S. National  Security Strategy nor with the rather inconclusive EU Security Strategy.  Moreover, NATO&rsquo;s toolbox is limited to military tools.&nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">The EU is not much better  off. Its strategy is a soft power-driven concept and its military capabilities  are not sufficient to act in crises of global dimensions. The EU&rsquo;s advantage,  however, is that it has the full set of political, economic, and albeit limited  military tools including police forces.&nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">What is needed could be  expressed as follows:&nbsp;</p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">&nbsp;&ldquo;With the requirement  to meet the threats from where they may come, the Alliance will operate in a wider strategic  environment that is influenced by several key factors and drivers for change.  Foremost among them are: Globalization, the increasing sophistication of  asymmetric warfare, the effects of changing demography and environment, failing  states, radical ideologies, and unresolved conflicts. These factors are liable  to lead to shocks to Alliance  security interests over the next 15 years, particularly as tensions, crises,  and conflicts will occur with little warning.&rdquo;&nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">If this &ldquo;mission statement&rdquo;  is correct, then it does not make too much sense to do what some NATO nations  are doing, namely, keep NATO down and pop the EU up. Whether we Europeans like  it or not, realism suggests that the EU will need a very long time, if it does  it at all, to become a truly global actor capable of conducting military  operations across the full spectrum. It is therefore better for the U.S. and for Europe that NATO and the EU work  together and that they seek to widen their cooperation by including the U.S. &nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">If you compare the  interests of all the hypothetical partners, you will see that there are no  other two groups besides the Americans and the Europeans who have so much in  common. The idea of balancing American power by promoting a multi-polar world  and partnerships among the Europeans, the Russians, and the Chinese has simply  not been thought through, and definitely is not in the interest of Europe. Such ideas will result in dividing Europe and  making it impossible for Europe to be seen as a partner in Washington. They will also strengthen U.S. dominance  and reduce European influence.&nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">I therefore do not see a  better solution than a mature transatlantic partnership. The basis for such a  partnership should be NATO, which is, after all, the only legal framework that  firmly ties the U.S.  to most of the EU member-states. But as the strategic environment changes, it  seems that NATO needs a new vision.&nbsp; </p>
        <p align="center" class="style28"><strong>WHAT NEEDS TO BE DONE&nbsp;</strong> </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">The first and, in my view,  indispensable step is to transform the political side of NATO&rsquo;s house as  profoundly as NATO asked the military to transform. Such a transformation must  raise the question of decisions by consensus as well: At this moment all committees  are bound to achieve consensus, which makes the lowest common denominator the  best that can be achieved after considerable time and effort. Is this really  what we need in a time full of uncertainties? I&rsquo;d like to repeat what I  suggested at the inaugural SHAPE lecture in May 2005: I can imagine preserving  the consensus principle for NAC decisions but opening the door to majority rule  at the committee level. &nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">Political transformation  also calls for a reaffirmation that all NATO nations will use NATO as the  option of choice in all situations that require coordinated transatlantic  action as well as a consolidated transatlantic appreciation of the situation.  This would require Europeans to give up the idea of consulting first in the EU  and the U.S. to abandon the  flawed idea of developing a concept in Washington  and then asking the allies to join a coalition of the willing. This latter  approach, by the way, perpetuates &ldquo;ad hoc-ery&rdquo; and is detrimental to the  cohesion of NATO. &nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">What I have in mind is consultation  within NATO that leads to a decision of the 26 and delegation of the execution  to a coalition of the willing; execution defines the coalition but not  necessarily the political decision. This obviously means that allies who don&rsquo;t  contribute to the execution of a NATO decision have no right to influence the  conduct of the operation&mdash;their decision not to participate reduces their rights  to information. While I know this idea might be provocative, many may share my  view that future military operations will require exploiting the qualitative  edge that NATO and its nations will enjoy because of their ability to win and  maintain information dominance. Time will therefore be of the essence, and  delegation, quite often pre-delegation of responsibility to the executing  commander, will be indispensable. &nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">Delegating responsibility  will include allocating all necessary resources to the commander in the field.  NATO must therefore modernize the way it finances operations beyond the Cold  War formula of &ldquo;costs lie where they fall.&rdquo; Applying this outdated formula to  the NRF could well mean keeping the force dormant and never using it as it was  designed to be used: As a rapid response in the early stages of a conflict that  might extinguish the spark before it becomes a fire. If politicians remember  how expensive it is to come too late, as we did in the Balkans during the 90s,  they may agree that common funding of NRF deployments might save a lot of  money.&nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">Delegating responsibility  also means reducing to the extent possible national reservations that often  hamper NATO commanders from using forces in a proper and meaningful way and  that prevent ROES without amplifying national instructions. As many of you  know, it is this reality, plus the manpower-eating insistence of nations to  take on national responsibilities for logistics or overlapping national C2,  that makes NATO deployments so expensive and often increases NATO&rsquo;s reaction  time far beyond what is tolerable.&nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">All of these problems  require political, not military, solutions; if these solutions aren&rsquo;t found,  the Alliance  might find itself possessing a military rapid reaction capability but unable to  use it quickly because of political issues. Taxpayers on both sides of the Atlantic will not tolerate such a situation  forever.&nbsp; </p>
        <p align="center" class="style28"><strong>EQUIPPING NATO WITH NON-MILITARY  MEANS&nbsp;</strong> </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">If all of the steps I have  proposed were taken, NATO would undoubtedly be better off than it is today. But  the question of how to equip NATO with other than military means, which are so  often and so badly needed in the early stages of a crisis, remains.&nbsp;  &nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">One possibility is either a  Berlin Plus analogon or a steering committee  that could direct NATO, the EU, and the U.S. toward joint contributions in  a common effort to end a conflict. Using a Berlin Plus analogon would mean that  the EU and the U.S.  would pledge to provide NATO with non-military tools as NATO would pledge to  help the EU by providing NATO assets and capabilities. The alternative option  is to establish a steering committee consisting of the Secretary General of  NATO, the President of the EU Commission or the EU President, and the U.S.  President. The committee would be given the task of directing NATO, the EU, and  the U.S.G. to make contributions to resolve emerging crises after consultation  in NATO concluded that common action by one or two or all three of them would  be needed to protect common interests.&nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">I readily admit that  something like this may not happen tomorrow, but logic suggests that it would  be a good answer to the challenges of a world full of uncertainty. It would  also lead to a new concept for NATO, which I would call a Grand Strategy, that  would answer other key questions, including the priority for military action  and the legality of the use of force.&nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">I do not wish to dwell at  length on these highly political and intensively debated issues, but an  alliance that claims to be the defender of freedom and the rule of law has to  demonstrate through its actions that it will use its power only when its  members&rsquo; vital and legitimate interests are at risk, and that even then its  actions will be governed by the rule of law. This does not mean, however, that  NATO&rsquo;s hands should be tied by a narrow interpretation of international law  that evolved through centuries in a world that no longer exists. &nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">I stated earlier that NATO  must take a holistic approach to crisis management, which often may mean that  other than military means should be used. But it seems uncertain whether the  old mantra of the use of force being the last resort of politics will remain  unchallenged. We live in a world in which cyberattacks and the use of WMD  belong to our opponents&rsquo; range of options. In such a world the option of using  force as the first resort must not be ruled out. We need to think prevention  through. &nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">It goes without saying that  any use of force must be both legal and legitimate but it could well be that on  reflection prevention may need to include the concept of self-defense and lead  to a different understanding of intervention. I can well imagine that the key  to such a debate may lie in a new understanding of national sovereignty; if  sovereignty were no longer seen as the right to act as one likes within one&rsquo;s  area of responsibility but as a responsibility to protect the state&rsquo;s citizens,  then intervention might possibly be regarded by a majority of states as being  legitimate should a government not live up to this responsibility. A government  that failed to honor its obligations would no longer be protected by Article 2  of the UN Charter.&nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">I do not, therefore, rule  out the possibility that a new understanding of the legitimacy and legality of  the use of force might evolve over time, either as a new convention or through  actions taken by state parties as is customary in international law. Thus  preventive military action could well become a legal instrument in NATO&rsquo;s tool  box. This tool box, however must contain both military and non-military  instruments and the allies must agree that one set of tools does not  automatically have greater priority than the other. &nbsp; </p>
        <p align="center" class="style28"><strong>CONTINUING TRANSFORMATION&nbsp;</strong> </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">I believe that these and  other principles should be laid down in a new NATO strategy paper, since the  extant 1999 Strategic Concept as well as the Bi-SC Strategic Vision fall short  of meeting such requirements. Such a new strategy paper could serve as both a  guideline and a benchmark for future force planning. But it does not suffice to  adapt or modify the Strategic Concept. NATO should also have a fresh look at  force planning. &nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">The organization, no doubt,  deserves a lot of praise for the steps it has taken so far to transform its  military capabilities, most notably establishing the NRF. But I hope that no  one believes that the initial operational capability of the NRF means the end  of transformation. Transformation must go on, and it should encompass all NATO  forces over time. All of us need to understand that transformation will  increasingly be a process in which the end-state is difficult to define. Most  nations are currently beginning their transformation by focusing primarily on  information dominance, but the next revolution in military affairs (RMA) based  on nanotechnology, biotechnology, and robotics may soon be knocking at our  doors. NATO&rsquo;s nations must therefore not wait to modernize their inventories;  if they do, they may soon be facing two gaps, a modernization gap and a  capabilities gap, which may soon develop into a conceptual thinking gap.&nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">It therefore seems to me  that a new approach to NATO&rsquo;s force planning procedures, at least an unbiased  stock taking, is necessary. This effort should focus on Europe without leaving Canada in the  margins. The NATO military authorities should identify the requirements and the  North Atlantic Council should then demand that all nations, including the U.S., make  specific contributions. Non-U.S. nations would complement U.S. capabilities  and ensure full interoperability. Such an approach would enable Europe to  develop a limited capability to act independently in defense of European  security interests when the United    States is either not capable of taking on  additional tasks or is unwilling to join a European action.&nbsp; <br>
          When planning for such  action, the European military would need to focus on three functional  areas:&nbsp; </p>
        <ul type="disc" class="style21">
          <li>C4ISR&nbsp; </li>
          <li>Effective engagement&nbsp; </li>
          <li>Focused logistics&nbsp;</li>
        </ul>
        <p align="left" class="style21">Its NATO-compatible  capability would then serve two strategic objectives simultaneously:&nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">1. It would allow Europe to implement its Security Strategy as agreed by EU  heads of states and governments.&nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">2. It would enhance  European influence on U.S.  decision making since the European assets would likely be those that the U.S.  does not have in sufficient quantity. This means that the assets should be  selected and developed in a way that ensures a limited autonomous European  intervention capability while focusing on those areas for which the U.S. depends  upon allied support.&nbsp; </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">Force planning following  these guidelines would produce European armed forces that tie European  capabilities to American global projection capabilities. Thus Europe could  benefit from American global capabilities and the U.S. would benefit because European  capabilities would help to sustain the American military.&nbsp; </p>
        <p align="center" class="style28"><strong>STRENGTHENING  COHESIVENESS&nbsp;</strong> </p>
        <p align="left" class="style21">In this presentation I have  tried to outline what I believe are two needed changes: A new political  strategic vision plus the political will to transform NATO beyond the military  realm, and the continuation of military transformation through the&nbsp;establishment  of a few affordable and feasible NATO-owned and -operated component forces.  Together these two elements would create a cohesiveness that would remain  strong while the difficult debates over a new Strategic Concept unfold. No  doubt, such an approach would make the non-U.S. nations more dependent on each  other, but it could also encourage the U.S. to think of using NATO as its  option of choice in crisis management. Thus the allies could become the  indispensable partner of the indispensable nation, the United States.&nbsp;</p>
        <p>&nbsp;</p>
        <p>&nbsp;</p>
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Anon7 - 2021