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<title>February 2007: Push Me -- Pull You Policy Power Pet</title>
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    <p align="left"><font face="Arial"><strong><small>About The Author:<br>
	<br>
	</small></strong><span lang="X-NONE" style="color: black"><font size="2">
	ROGER FELDMAN, Co-Chair of Andrews Kurth LLP Climate Change and Carbon 
	Markets Group has practiced law related to the finance of environmental and 
	energy projects and companies for 40 years.&nbsp; In particular, he has analyzed 
	and executed a wide variety and substantial value of project financings.&nbsp; He 
	chairs the American Bar Association&#8217;s Committee on Carbon Trading and 
	Finance, serves on the Board of the American Council for Renewable Energy, 
	and has been a senior official in the Federal Energy Administration.&nbsp; He is 
	a graduate of Brown University, Yale Law School and Harvard Business School.</font></span></font></p>
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    <img src="../images/feldman.gif" alt="Washington Viewpoint by Roger Feldman" border="0" width="375" height="75"><p align="left"><b><u><br>
      </u></b><u><b>February 2007</b></u></p>
	<p align="center"><font size="6"><b>Push Me -- Pull You Policy Power Pet</b></font></p>
    <p><strong>by Roger Feldman&nbsp; -- &nbsp; Bingham, Dana L.L.P.<br>
    </strong><font face="Arial" size="2">(<em>originally published by PMA OnLine 
    Magazine: 2008/01/05</em>)<br>
    </font><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: Palatino; color: black">
    &nbsp;</span></p>
    <p class="BodyText05SS" align="left" style="text-align:left;text-indent:0in">
	Energy/environment policy often looks like a &#8220;Push Me Pull You&#8221; Dr. 
	Seuss-type fictional pooch.&nbsp; These days it appears that energy policy is the 
	tail on the dog of global warming environmental policy.&nbsp; The paradoxical 
	result may be that in the power generation sector it will be &#8220;business as 
	usual,&#8221; as the electric industry prepares to meet an urgent demand for 
	supply increases in several disparate regions of the country.</p>
	<p class="BodyText05SS" align="left" style="text-align:left;text-indent:0in">
	&#8220;The most inconvenient truth about global warming is that we cannot stop 
	it,&#8221; suggested a recent <u>Newsweek</u> columnist.&nbsp; India and China are 
	going to build 650 coal-fired plants by 2050 (by which time world energy 
	production will have doubled) emissions of CO<sub>2</sub> from which will be 
	five time those targeted by the Kyoto accords.&nbsp; He might have added that the 
	US power industry is poised to meet near term power shortages in several 
	regions of the country by adding myriad new coal plants here as well.&nbsp; Clean 
	coal and hybrid cars promise to alter this picture - but they are not there 
	yet.&nbsp; Meanwhile power rates are rising as rate caps are withdrawn in 
	deregulated states and the energy policy dog is beginning to emit a 
	decidedly consumerist growl.</p>
	<p class="BodyText05SS" align="left" style="text-align:left;text-indent:0in">
	This is not to say that acquiescence to global Armageddon is a wise or a 
	necessary policy.&nbsp; The Pew Foundation recently recommended &#8220;coping with 
	climate change&#8221; by &#8220;mitigation&#8221; and &#8220;adaptation&#8221; (<i>e.g.,</i> anticipating 
	the flooding of seaside resorts).&nbsp; I would suggest that the same approach - 
	done with overriding concern for energy security policy - is what should be 
	hoped for in the national energy policy.&nbsp; What we have today is a 
	hodge-podge of regional product preferences, arm waving about techno-fixes 
	and a relatively very small penetration in the power marketplace by the 
	technical fixes which do presently exist.&nbsp; And what we have is a lack of any 
	working policy to mesh available renewables and conservation strategies.</p>
	<p class="BodyText05SS" align="left" style="text-align:left;text-indent:0in">
	One very important reason for this dilemma is that the ultimate delivery 
	system for our electric energy is our regulated utilities.&nbsp; They 
	understandably have to keep at least one eye cocked for policies that will 
	increase their costs or leave them lagging behind the market demand curve.&nbsp; 
	They are, after all, publicly-traded companies.</p>
	<p class="BodyText05SS" align="left" style="text-align:left;text-indent:0in">
	Utility policy makers may still be getting over the battle fatigue resulting 
	from righteous efforts to make pure theoretical economics drive optimal 
	pragmatic results in the real world.&nbsp; The result of this &#8220;deregulation&#8221; has 
	been to leave us with rising retail prices as price caps come off, subtle 
	private power marketing strategies which take advantage of the price 
	established by the highest marginal unit, and increased consolidation and/or 
	continue market dominance by a handful of companies.&nbsp; Such single firm good 
	business may not (in the absence of significant regulatory intervention) 
	either produce an improved fleet of less carbon-stained generators or an 
	innovative surge of green technology (or even energy efficiency 
	improvements).</p>
	<p class="BodyText05SS" align="left" style="text-align:left;text-indent:0in">
	It certain has produced rate-shocked and angry customers in many parts of 
	the country, who want to hear about price, not carbon rollbacks.</p>
	<p class="BodyText05SS" align="left" style="text-align:left;text-indent:0in">
	There are now two new basic utility regulatory/strategies to at least 
	mitigate the global warming future while still meeting supply requirements:&nbsp; 
	one conservation/power reduction oriented, and the other green 
	power/production oriented.&nbsp; They are being presented in similar regulatory 
	forums.&nbsp; In the absence of some conscious effort to intermesh them, they can 
	conflict.&nbsp; The following scenario could, without too much imagination, 
	result: utility plant choice swinging to fossil fired behemoths, merchant 
	green power suppliers being marginalized or transformed into minor 
	satellites of utilities, and the movement to creatively abate climate change 
	devolving into an expensive but delusionary PR campaign (with lots of green, 
	sunshine, happy children, and blue skies).&nbsp; It is important that energy 
	efficiency and renewables policy be reconciled.</p>
	<p class="BodyText05SS" align="left" style="text-align:left;text-indent:0in">
	The first new regulatory trend proceeds from an apparently valid principle: 
	elimination of the need for new power plants reduces new pollution and (to a 
	degree) insecure energy supply.&nbsp; To do this so far, principally individual 
	states have begun summoning energy efficiency standards into the breach - 
	particularly where no retail competition exists.&nbsp; But this in turn triggers 
	the age-old problem -- utilities are paid to produce power and realize on 
	asset additions.&nbsp; Unprofitable utilities drag down our economy as well as 
	themselves.&nbsp; Two new responses to this problem that have been injected into 
	the argument are (i)&nbsp;predetermining utility profits each year, thereby 
	separating their earnings from the volume of electricity they deliver (<i>i.e.,</i> 
	&#8220;decoupling,&#8221; already used for several gas utilities nationwide) and 
	(ii)&nbsp;possibly, but not necessarily, linked to also rewarding utilities for 
	meeting efficiency standards which are ratcheted up.</p>
	<p class="BodyText05SS" align="left" style="text-align:left;text-indent:0in">
	There is a logic in this, particularly from the point of view of energy 
	efficiency investments in items such as transmission upgrade.&nbsp; But depending 
	on how it is implemented, it could have a variety of less desirable impacts 
	on the operation of the resource performance standards which have been of 
	value to green power merchant facilities.&nbsp; If there is less power to be 
	bought and sold by utilities, then there is less need to buy green power 
	from third party merchants.&nbsp; And if assured profits have been set at a high 
	enough level, such green power as needs to be produced can be produced with 
	&#8220;profit-insulated&#8221; internal capital investments.&nbsp; The old fossil plants can 
	continue to roam the plains.&nbsp; The positive impact of evolving new technology 
	competition is retarded for another energy generation.</p>
	<p class="BodyText05SS" align="left" style="text-align:left;text-indent:0in">
	But the other countervailing new regulatory trend can also head in 
	suboptimal directions.&nbsp; It is, taken to the extreme, which certain European 
	countries have followed, to require payment by utilities of 
	&#8220;feed-in-tariffs&#8221; which require utilities to purchase &#8220;clean energies&#8221; at a 
	premium set by the government at a price passed on to consumers (or, more 
	modestly, at a price set a certain percentage above the market).&nbsp; In some 
	countries this is bolstered by R&amp;D and subsidies to consumers to support 
	specific technologies.&nbsp; The combination of resource performance standards 
	coupled with tax credits for green producers has some of the same benefits, 
	and may perhaps provide a greater market incentive by reducing the profit 
	insulation provided by assured markets to merchant producers.&nbsp; Likely, it 
	serves to lower the competition level with utilities which might otherwise 
	exist.&nbsp; But what these pro-production policies do not by themselves do is 
	mitigate the gobbling growth of power use of a mature industrial society.</p>
	<p class="BodyText05SS" align="left" style="text-align:left;text-indent:0in">
	Utility policy is unavoidably linked to the looming climate change crisis 
	through the need to reconcile these possibly contradictory incentives.&nbsp; It 
	would not be audacious to suggest that conservation and green energy could 
	be linked by a single new Federal policy tying efficiency credits and 
	renewable credits together, thereby assuring that potentially competitive 
	merchant suppliers could be a leading supplier of both.&nbsp; This has proven 
	very difficult to do at the fragmented state level, where, in addition to 
	everything else, environmental and energy representatives have arrived at a 
	series of different, and generally not adequately satisfactory, responses to 
	the issues of meeting new load in an environmentally responsive way.</p>
	<p class="BodyText05SS" align="left" style="text-align:left;text-indent:0in">
	Congress currently is being called on to consider two different types of 
	mandatory portfolio standard tradable credits:&nbsp; those for energy efficiency 
	and those for renewable energy.&nbsp; (They are Federal analogues of the &#8220;white 
	tags&#8221; and &#8220;green tags&#8221; voluntary programs which have sprung up.)&nbsp; Each has 
	carbon reducing characteristics.&nbsp; Perhaps this is an appropriate setting to 
	begin explicitly considering how energy efficiency and renewable energy, 
	provided in a competitive private capital driven marketplace, could be yoked 
	together through rewards mechanisms, even encouraged to be part of life 
	cycle resource planning by utilities and consumers alike.&nbsp; This would not be 
	easy;&nbsp; but it is preferable to superficially linking programs which can be 
	complementary or antithetical depending on how they are incented, and 
	effectively leaving the field to traditional technologies and players.&nbsp; 
	Utility regulatory policy is a specific context in which, if the twin 
	environmental goals of mitigation and adaptation can be reconciled, the 
	minimally productive push me - pull you policies of the present might be 
	supervened by a push here and pull there policy guidedog.</p>
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text-align:left"><font face="Arial" size="2">
	<span lang="X-NONE" style="color: black">ROGER FELDMAN, Co-Chair of Andrews 
	Kurth LLP Climate Change and Carbon Markets Group has practiced law related 
	to the finance of environmental and energy projects and companies for 40 
	years.&nbsp; In particular, he has analyzed and executed a wide variety and 
	substantial value of project financings.&nbsp; He chairs the American Bar 
	Association&#8217;s Committee on Carbon Trading and Finance, serves on the Board 
	of the American Council for Renewable Energy, and has been a senior official 
	in the Federal Energy Administration.&nbsp; He is a graduate of Brown University, 
	Yale Law School and Harvard Business School.</span></font></p>

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