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<title>September 2005: Storm Winds of 2005</title>
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    <p align="left"><font face="Arial"><strong><small>About The Author:<br>
	<br>
	</small></strong><span lang="X-NONE" style="color: black"><font size="2">
	ROGER FELDMAN, Co-Chair of Andrews Kurth LLP Climate Change and Carbon 
	Markets Group has practiced law related to the finance of environmental and 
	energy projects and companies for 40 years.&nbsp; In particular, he has analyzed 
	and executed a wide variety and substantial value of project financings.&nbsp; He 
	chairs the American Bar Association&#8217;s Committee on Carbon Trading and 
	Finance, serves on the Board of the American Council for Renewable Energy, 
	and has been a senior official in the Federal Energy Administration.&nbsp; He is 
	a graduate of Brown University, Yale Law School and Harvard Business School.</font></span></font></p>
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    <img src="../images/feldman.gif" alt="Washington Viewpoint by Roger Feldman" border="0" width="375" height="75"><p><b><u><br>
      September 2005</u></b></p>
    <p align="center"><font size="6"><b>Storm Winds of 2005</b></font></p>
    <p><strong>by Roger Feldman&nbsp; -- &nbsp; Bingham, Dana L.L.P.<br>
    </strong><font face="Arial" size="2">(<em>originally published by PMA OnLine 
    Magazine: 2</em>005/10/14)<br>
    </font><span style="font-size: 10.0pt; font-family: Palatino; color: black">
    &nbsp;</span></p>
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    <p>The future of merchant power depends on where capital will flow in the 
    future. Presently capital &#8212; from new sources including hedge funds, private 
    equity and other special purpose funds &#8212; has been directed to the trading of 
    existing assets, not the development of new facilities. As these plants age, 
    and their contracts expire, those existing assets become &#8220;merchant&#8221; in their 
    own right. So too do distressed assets emerging from Chapter 11. The 
    regulatory environment for them becomes even more pertinent.</p>
    <p>Evaluation of the Energy Policy Act of 2005 therefore requires 
    comprehending the entirety of the Energy Policy Act of 2005. That&#8217;s why the 
    run-down which follows of the Act is entirely pertinent to all players in 
    the development or the resuscitation of the merchant power industry.<br>
    <br>
    Viewed from the perspective of impact on capital flows into the utility 
    industry, significant provisions of the Energy Policy Act of 2005 (&#8220;Energy 
    Policy Act&#8221;) may be grouped into four basic categories:<br>
    <br>
    1. Those provisions liberalizing the ability of parties to innovate in their 
    purchase and sale of market assets.<br>
&nbsp;<br>
    2. Those affecting the predictability of regulatory treatment of the 
    industry.<br>
    <br>
    3. Those opening or closing new capital outlets for investors or potential 
    investors in the power industry or related energy areas.<br>
&nbsp;<br>
    4. Those possibly diverting capital investments to nearer term opportunities 
    in the energy field.<br>
    <br>
    Here is a brief rundown of conclusions on each of these issues and a brief 
    summary of the Act&#8217;s provisions which support them. In the course of the 
    next two days, it will be informative to get the panelists&#8217; views on this 
    characterization and evaluation of the Act.<br>
    <br>
    <b>INNOVATION-PURCHASE &amp; SALE</b><br>
    1. The repeal of PUHCA, even though accompanied by redelegation of certain 
    reduced authority to FERC and preservation of residual state authorities 
    should enlarge the marketplace for new non-utility investors; contribute to 
    consolidation of utility companies and will place pressure on traditional 
    IPP ownership models of entities. This will be facilitated by the Act&#8217;s 
    partial streamlining of the merger approval process.<br>
    <br>
    <b>PUHCA REPEAL</b><br>
    * Title XII, ��1261-1277 of the Act repeals PUHCA, which provided for, among 
    other matters, SEC advance approval for acquisitions creating holding 
    companies (10% ownership or more); holding company securities issuances; 
    intercorporate transactions; and multistate or geographically discontinuous 
    ownership of assets. The Act effectively limited third party, e.g., private 
    equity, managerial control of utilities and placed limits on the non-utility 
    business activities of foreign acquirers. To be substituted within four 
    months of the Act is FERC (and state) review of books and records related to 
    rulemaking and regulation of certain transactions among holding company 
    affiliates. FERC now also has regulatory authority for review of holding 
    company system overhead and cost allocations. Note, however, that the Act 
    does not repeal state authority over acquisitions, nor the merger review 
    authority of FERC, DOJ and the NRC, where applicable.<br>
    <br>
    <b>MERGER REVIEW</b><br>
    * Since a key element in FERC &#8220;public interest factor&#8221; review (as well as 
    DOJ and FTC) is the competitive impact of the merger, proposed mergers of 
    utilities of the same geographic market will continue to be examined for 
    adverse impacts. Specifically, Federal Power Act � 203 remains in place, as 
    amended by Act � 1289 merger review provisions. Key streamlining features of 
    this review are: contemplated in the act, required FERC adoption of 
    procedures for expedited consideration of applications. (Actions not acted 
    on in 360 days are deemed granted).<br>
    <br>
    * Under the Act, however, there is broad expansion of the types of 
    transactions over which FERC would have jurisdiction. Sale of generation 
    assets only (even without transmission or other &#8220;jurisdictional assets&#8221;) is 
    now to be included within FERC purview, if the generation assets are used in 
    interstate sales; as are mergers of (a) holding companies and transmitting 
    companies now subject to FERC jurisdiction; (b) utility - non-utility 
    subsidies and (c) cross encumbrances of assets.<br>
    <br>
    <b>PREDICTABILITY OF REGULATORY TREATMENT</b><br>
    2. The basic emphasis of the Act is on creation of a more reliable grid, in 
    which efficient dispatch has been bolstered, although not enshrined in a 
    single standard market design. Efforts to improve the transparency of the 
    trading markets and preclude their manipulation are enhanced. While open 
    access continues to be supported as general matter and expanded to other 
    grid participants, the effective gutting of PURPA and absence of other 
    &#8220;wedge&#8221; measures for non-utilities to capture utility credit suggests a 
    further force for centralization of control of the utility industry. 
    Optionality value of investments will have to be assessed with this 
    consideration in mind.<br>
    <br>
    <b>BULK POWER RATIONALIZATION<br>
    </b>* The other primary thrust of Title VII is to further facilitate the 
    rationalization of the bulk power system, although not in the fully detailed 
    manner contemplated by Standard Market Design. The key element under �1221 
    is the certification of an Electric Reliability Organization (ERO) to 
    develop reliability standards which may be enforced by the, Commission, ISOs 
    or RTOs as designated. Re-enforcement is provided for FERC&#8217;s authority to 
    assure non-discriminatory access not only to IOU but also to non-regulated 
    transmitting utilities under �1231. (PMAs and TVA are now also authorized to 
    participate in RTOs).<br>
    <br>
    <b>NATIVE LOAD PROTECTION</b><br>
    * Importantly, however, under �1233 the rights of load serving entities to 
    protect their ability to provide firm transmission service to &#8220;native load&#8221; 
    on a priority basis is protected. Retail utilities thereby are enabled to 
    afford themselves preferential transmission access to serve their &#8220;own 
    retail customers.&#8221;<br>
    <br>
    <b>PURPA REDUCTION</b><br>
    * Reflecting a similar Congressional inclination to bolster the transmission 
    system but reduce the extent of non-utility players in it. Subtitle E �� 
    1251-1254 amends PURPA in a manner which, in effect, guts the requirement of 
    compulsory &#8220;must buy&#8221; utility purchases and utility &#8220;must sell&#8221; provisions 
    which enabled QFs to optimize their power export capability. These 
    capabilities in particular provided a basis for the &#8220;QF&#8221; industry which has 
    existed since the &#8216;80s. The &#8220;must buy&#8221; requirement only applies if a 
    regional market is not &#8220;competitively workable&#8221; - a subject for dispute 
    outside of RTO regions. (It does not undercut state utility required 
    purchase standards for renewables.) The definition of qualified 
    &#8220;cogeneration&#8221; has been shrunk to basically limit the use of cogeneration to 
    the non-utility marketplace, while expanding utility ownership.<br>
    <br>
    <b>IMPROVEMENT OF TRADING MARKETS</b><br>
    * Markets using the grid are to be strengthened, FERC is directed by �� 
    1281, 1282 to enhance the power trading market by strengthening its 
    oversight and governance of abuses. Price transparency will be actively 
    facilitated by FERC, including the issuance of rules for the dissemination 
    of information about the availability and prices of wholesale electric 
    energy and transmission service. Injunctions may be obtained against persons 
    engaged in market manipulation. Rules to prohibit the filing of false 
    information and the use of &#8220;any manipulative or deceptive device or 
    contrivance&#8221; will be published. FERC is also directed to enter an MOU with 
    the CFTC.<br>
    <br>
    <b>POWER INDUSTRY INVESTMENT-TRANSMISSIONS</b><br>
    3. The power industry activity to which most incentives for innovation is 
    given is transmission &#8212; both for investment and development of new 
    companies. In addition, the incentives for clean coal and nuclear facilities 
    may have a longer term influence on the market. Analogously, the regulatory 
    incentives for LNG should both attract further capital to this sector and 
    storage, but also may provide needed support for large non-distributed 
    sources of generation.<br>
    <br>
    <b>TRANSMISSION</b><br>
    * The primary focus in Article VII Subtitle D on &#8220;Transmission Rate Reform&#8221; 
    is capital creation within the electric power industry is transmission. 
    Incentive-based ratemaking for transmission facilities is specifically 
    authorized to encourage investment and participant funding plans (even by 
    non-RTO members). There is also to be encouragement of deployment of 
    advanced transmission technologies. Taken together with the PUHCA provisions 
    permitting freer asset transfer, the possibilities for ITC creation are 
    enhanced.<br>
    <br>
    * Possibly also facilitating development of transmission is an effort to 
    emulate the right-of-way siting authority which FERC has exercised with 
    respect to interstate gas pipelines (backed by eminent domain authority). 
    The DOE is required to designate &#8220;national interest electric corridors&#8221; in 
    areas with capacity constraints or congestion. Where states do not authorize 
    or otherwise impair project development, a procedure for Federal eminent 
    domain and &#8220;just compensation&#8221; &#8212; is provided. It may or may not be 
    sufficient to deal with all the permitting requirements presented at the 
    Federal and state levels.<br>
    <br>
    <b>CAPITAL DIVERSIONS</b><br>
    4. A significant proportion of the Energy Policy Act tax incentive program 
    as well as loans, grants, loan guarantees, and research &amp; development grants 
    are directed toward renewable electric energy technology including biofuels. 
    Analogous incentives are directed toward coal-based alternative liquid and 
    gaseous fuels. Some capital otherwise directed to utility finance seems 
    likely to be diverted in those directions &#8212; particularly where the financial 
    credit of utilities or refiners can be captured in structured deals as a 
    result of Act incentives. Other high tech loan guarantees and R&amp;D incentive 
    programs seem less likely to have near term private capital diversion 
    potential.<br>
    <br>
    * Of greatest potentially greatest significance in terms of capital market 
    diversion from traditional utility assets are the tax incentives provided 
    for different types of renewable energy resources, notably Production Tax 
    Credit for power production from specified qualified energy resources. Title 
    XIII extended the availability of these credits through 2007; enlarged the 
    list of Qualified Energy Facilities and extended the term of the credits for 
    certain of these resources to 10 years. The non-refundable PTC is as much as 
    1.9 cents per kilowatt hour.<br>
    <br>
    Merchants and other transitional assets must be acute to catch the winds of 
    change which the Energy Policy represent. The Energy Policy Act can be a 
    helpful gust or a storm warning.</p>
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text-align:left"><font face="Arial" size="2">
	<span lang="X-NONE" style="color: black">ROGER FELDMAN, Co-Chair of Andrews 
	Kurth LLP Climate Change and Carbon Markets Group has practiced law related 
	to the finance of environmental and energy projects and companies for 40 
	years.&nbsp; In particular, he has analyzed and executed a wide variety and 
	substantial value of project financings.&nbsp; He chairs the American Bar 
	Association&#8217;s Committee on Carbon Trading and Finance, serves on the Board 
	of the American Council for Renewable Energy, and has been a senior official 
	in the Federal Energy Administration.&nbsp; He is a graduate of Brown University, 
	Yale Law School and Harvard Business School.</span></font></p>

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