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<title>February 2001: California: Reality TV As Energy Policy</title>
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    <p align="left"><font face="Arial"><strong><small>About The Author:<br>
	<br>
	</small></strong><span lang="X-NONE" style="color: black"><font size="2">
	ROGER FELDMAN, Co-Chair of Andrews Kurth LLP Climate Change and Carbon 
	Markets Group has practiced law related to the finance of environmental and 
	energy projects and companies for 40 years.&nbsp; In particular, he has analyzed 
	and executed a wide variety and substantial value of project financings.&nbsp; He 
	chairs the American Bar Association&#8217;s Committee on Carbon Trading and 
	Finance, serves on the Board of the American Council for Renewable Energy, 
	and has been a senior official in the Federal Energy Administration.&nbsp; He is 
	a graduate of Brown University, Yale Law School and Harvard Business School.</font></span></font></p>
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<!--webbot bot="Include" i-checksum="19883" endspan --><p>&nbsp;</td>
    <td width="75%" valign="top"><img src="../images/feldman.gif" alt="Washington Viewpoint by Roger Feldman" border="0" WIDTH="375" HEIGHT="75"><p><b><u><br>
      February 2001</u><br>
      </b></p>
      <p><b><font face="Arial" size="6">California: Reality TV As Energy Policy</font></b></p>
    <p><strong>by Roger Feldman&nbsp; -- &nbsp; Bingham, Dana L.L.P.<br>
    </strong><font face="Arial" size="2">(<em>originally published by PMA OnLine Magazine:
    200</em>1/03)<br>
    </font></p>
      <p ALIGN="JUSTIFY"><font face="Arial">Anthropologists tell us that the
      study of cultural artifacts illuminates, in a larger sense, how day&#8211;to&#8211;day
      life was actually lived in that society. In the electronic age, it is the
      key to understanding how the California mess came to be and how it may
      evolve. We have &quot;reality TV&quot;: &#8216;Survivor&#8217; and now &#8216;Temptation
      Island&#8217;; we have California, in real life.</font></p>
      <p ALIGN="JUSTIFY"><font face="Arial">We create a game with artificial
      rules to test whether man&#8217;s known proclivities to be greedy, nasty and
      brutish can be vanquished by the elevated efforts of divines (in this
      case, economists, their modern successors) to channel those instincts into
      &quot;higher&quot; (<i>i.e.</i>, more broadly culturally appropriate)
      forms of behavior. (We call this game deregulation to achieve free market
      economics). And, we sit back and are titillated by the lusty profit-driven
      tug of war, or horrified when the results get out of hand.</font></p>
      <p ALIGN="JUSTIFY"><font face="Arial">In American energy public policy, we
      have added both a subtlety and complexity to the game by having not one,
      but two dimensions of survivor game rules. As a consequence of the noble
      skepticism of our founding fathers, familiar both with man&#8217;s known
      proclivity to abuse centralized power over resources and his equally well
      known parochial desire to squirrel away whatever he can for himself,
      regardless of the societal consequences we draw imaginary governance lines
      across lines of physical economic production and the action of physical
      laws on electrons. (We call that applying &quot;federalism&quot; to energy
      policy.)</font></p>
      <p ALIGN="JUSTIFY"><font face="Arial">Whatever the particular theory one
      may have for what &quot;caused&quot; the California energy situation, two
      things probably can be agreed upon: It reflects the <i>deus ex machina</i>
      of &quot;private&quot; players, differently situated, trying to maximize
      their respective economic situations (defined broadly to include stranded
      cost recovery, power sales revenue maximization under applicable market
      conditions and rules, and reconfiguration of rate burdens among customer
      classes) and/or political situations, &quot;public&quot; players pandering
      to their constituents&#8217; desire for unlimited economic goods at the lowest
      price or for unlimited rights to private recovery in the event of economic
      scarcity. The conflict &quot;policy&quot; players purporting to achieve
      some hypothetical golden mean from all of this in the name of higher
      societal socioeconomic principles and mathematical algorithms. Like
      reality TV&#8217;s market; ratings, political ratings are the rationale are
      the true ultimate rationale for this script.</font></p>
      <p ALIGN="JUSTIFY"><font face="Arial">Which brings us to Washington, D.C.
      &#8211; where problems get &quot;resolved.&quot; Our Supreme Court has just
      stood its own federalist principles on its head to deliver a
      &quot;sustainable&quot; election result. We&#8217;ve had our Inauguration, now
      it is up to the resulting incoming Federal government to decide whether it
      will do likewise to its federalist principles and unleash its mighty
      powers to correct the operational mess which one state&#8217;s fullest
      exercise of its power has inadvertently produced (and which now threatens
      not only its citizens as consumers, but predictably all of us in the
      Federal union as citizens of the American economy). Will energy policy
      reality TV turn interactive?</font></p>
      <p ALIGN="JUSTIFY"><font face="Arial">Enter stage right, the announced
      proponents of &quot;free&quot; markets: Energy Secretary Abraham who (in
      the past, as a Senator,) would have abolished the U.S. Energy Department
      outright and FERC Chairman Hebert, who would let untrammeled free markets
      reign, till long term &quot;real&quot; equilibrium beats some price
      signaled economic sense into people and incentivizes enough powerplants to
      be built to redeem California from the darkness. Can these disciples,
      respectively, of Quayle and Lott pragmatically bring their principles
      together with reality before we have one sixth of a nation standing over
      silenced chip fabs and silenced data transmission cables, while dragging
      down the financial institutions that lent money to the utilities that kept
      the power distribution wires humming in the Golden State. (One lending
      brokerage firm has gone so far as to suggest that &quot;California
      Unplugged&quot;, will be &quot;A Drag on Global Growth&quot;, <i>i.e.</i>,
      in the local patois a bummer for investor dudes.)</font></p>
      <p ALIGN="JUSTIFY"><font face="Arial">Now is when posturing has to give
      way to pragmatic life principles or we will have a very unpleasant
      reality. We&#8217;ve heard a lot about how now there are &quot;adults&quot;
      running the Government. Those same folks did not do so well with reality
      in the last Energy crisis, because they kept mouthing platitudes and
      watching their own checkbooks and letting the devil take the hindmost. The
      result dragged America down for a decade. Let&#8217;s hope they do better
      playing Energy Survivor and Temptation Island in this new millenium. Price
      controls and consumer rebates may be Satan; but governments cannot, when
      dealing with an unstorable and essential commodity, put their faith alone
      in long term emergence of necessary supply. You don&#8217;t have to be a
      Keynsian to know that &quot;In the long run, we are all dead.&quot; There&#8217;s
      very little time for posturing and enjoying the entertainment of the TV
      simulation game we&#8217;re playing out now in California. Recognition of the
      need for regional solutions; phased rehabilitation of distribution system
      owners; some oversight of the wholesale sales profit opportunities; and
      some consumer price responsibility for consumer consumption all need to be
      imposed, at least for some identified reconstruction period. Playing it on
      and for the tube can take us down the tubes. Judge Judy presiding in
      Bankruptcy Court (the looming solution today) just does not have all the
      legal tools &#8211; not to say the moral authority or the broader public
      interest mandate to deal with the California situation in a salutary
      manner. One hopes ironically that the new Administration harkens back to
      the fateful ruling of the Supremes that gave it power: &quot;It&#8217;s about
      equal protection, stupid.&quot; Stay tuned.</font></p>
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text-align:left"><font face="Arial" size="2">
	<span lang="X-NONE" style="color: black">ROGER FELDMAN, Co-Chair of Andrews 
	Kurth LLP Climate Change and Carbon Markets Group has practiced law related 
	to the finance of environmental and energy projects and companies for 40 
	years.&nbsp; In particular, he has analyzed and executed a wide variety and 
	substantial value of project financings.&nbsp; He chairs the American Bar 
	Association&#8217;s Committee on Carbon Trading and Finance, serves on the Board 
	of the American Council for Renewable Energy, and has been a senior official 
	in the Federal Energy Administration.&nbsp; He is a graduate of Brown University, 
	Yale Law School and Harvard Business School.</span></font></p>

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