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<title>December 2000: Lifting the Siege of San Diego</title>
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    <p align="left"><font face="Arial"><strong><small>About The Author:<br>
	<br>
	</small></strong><span lang="X-NONE" style="color: black"><font size="2">
	ROGER FELDMAN, Co-Chair of Andrews Kurth LLP Climate Change and Carbon 
	Markets Group has practiced law related to the finance of environmental and 
	energy projects and companies for 40 years.&nbsp; In particular, he has analyzed 
	and executed a wide variety and substantial value of project financings.&nbsp; He 
	chairs the American Bar Association&#8217;s Committee on Carbon Trading and 
	Finance, serves on the Board of the American Council for Renewable Energy, 
	and has been a senior official in the Federal Energy Administration.&nbsp; He is 
	a graduate of Brown University, Yale Law School and Harvard Business School.</font></span></font></p>
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    <td width="75%" valign="top"><img src="../images/feldman.gif" alt="Washington Viewpoint by Roger Feldman" border="0" WIDTH="375" HEIGHT="75"><p><b><u><br>
      December&nbsp; 2000</u><br>
      </b></p>
      <p><b><font face="Arial" size="6">Lifting The Siege of San Diego</font></b></p>
    <p><strong>by Roger Feldman&nbsp; -- &nbsp; Bingham, Dana L.L.P.<br>
    </strong><font face="Arial" size="2">(<em>originally published by PMA OnLine Magazine:
    2000/12</em>)<br>
    </font></p>
      <p ALIGN="JUSTIFY"><font face="Arial">The inherent paradox in effective
      deregulation is that for electric power commodity markets to function at
      the state level, there must be a great deal of Federal oversight of all
      aspects of wholesale price setting. The extent to which FERC&#8217;s action to
      restore workable markets in California portends such centralization is a
      question whose answer may prove to be bound up in the election. (Whose
      results, of course, it is doubtful will ever be revealed unless FERC
      issues a special order.)</font></p>
      <p ALIGN="JUSTIFY"><font face="Arial">The elements of the California
      crisis alleviation recently recommended by FERC would seem to have varying
      degrees of national replicability or projectability. FERC allowed
      utilities to begin purchasing in the same market as other players.
      Certainly a structural reform, which will encourage bilateral contracting.
      Not necessarily one of innovative broad scale application, except for any
      jurisdictions which unquestioningly followed the California model which
      compelled utility reliance on the volatile spot market and did away with
      mechanisms to compensate for provision of capacity.</font></p>
      <p ALIGN="JUSTIFY"><font face="Arial">FERC instituted a &quot;soft&quot;
      price cap to replace the desperation &quot;cap of the week&quot; approach
      instituted by the Cal ISO. Again, a reasonable fine tuning of the extent
      of its delegation of &quot;just and reasonable&quot; price setting to
      ISOs. But also, perhaps, an acceptance of the notion that consumer
      protection price caps may have a place. That&#8217;s a &quot;soft&quot;
      boundary for the installation of true competitive markets, as well as a
      pragmatic accommodation of the daunting economics of mandating refunds in
      the current situation. However, it may prove so complex as to further
      impair operation of RTO markets.</font></p>
      <p ALIGN="JUSTIFY"><font face="Arial">FERC fired the ISO Advisory Board
      too, while blowing away its new proposed low price cap. Commentators
      foresaw this as a harbinger of new assertiveness on other
      &quot;quirky&quot; ISO measures, such as the New England ISO&#8217;s ex post
      facto price adjustments and Midwest ISO failure to adequately address
      central dispatching. In principle, this proactive stance could turn out to
      be the most important element of the Order. In taking it, however, FERC
      will have to navigate between three very different positions as to the
      role of ISOs and the policies they adopt.</font></p>
      <p ALIGN="JUSTIFY"><font face="Arial">First, is the position of the
      independent power generation industry, which essentially would like to see
      the relinkage of prices available from wholesale loads to retail price
      signals. Concretely, this means minimization of the utilization of caps,
      so that over both the short and the longer term suppliers can count on
      appropriate rewards for both their scheduling of existing and construction
      of new generation.</font></p>
      <p ALIGN="JUSTIFY"><font face="Arial">Opposed to this approach, and likely
      to have some second bites at the apple, both within and outside of
      California, are the proponents of what may be termed &quot;reregulation&quot;
      or simply cost based regulation (either temporary or permanent).
      Fundamentally, this approach reflects a profound skepticism that managed
      competition to get to supply-demand equilibrium through the use of
      complicated price caps truly is more efficient than simply keeping rates
      down through a mixture of traditional cost allocation methods and
      incentive ratemaking. This view could at least restrain if not actually
      reverse the deregulation trends.</font></p>
      <p ALIGN="JUSTIFY"><font face="Arial">Cross-cutting these two fundamental
      trends as to the role of FERC and ISOs in the regulation process are the
      forum shopping maneuvers by individual utilities among ISOs in pursuit of
      an environment most suitable to their marketing strategies. Most visible
      lately in this regard are the attempted shifts of Con Ed and Illinois
      Power out of the Midwest ISO, which had enjoyed greater FERC support than
      the Alliance RTO. Con Ed&#8217;s expressed reason was that as a result of the
      PECO merger, its concerns regarding congestion management and the right
      tariffs were now &quot;eastern facing&quot;. Other national utilities,
      like Xcel (Northern States Power; Northern States Power-Wisconsin and
      Southwestern Public Service) have been compelled to join not only MISO but
      also other RTOs for technical reasons. Munis and Federal Power marketing
      agencies have expressed reluctance to join any RTOs (Middle West) or
      significant disgruntlement with RTO governance (South-West). Overall,
      there appears to be a move toward for-profit trancos, which FERC has not
      fully assimilated in its umbrella approach to permissible types of RTOs.</font></p>
      <p ALIGN="JUSTIFY"><font face="Arial">This trichotomy of RTO approaches
      serves to emphasize how supply-demand balances, IOU merger shifts, RTO
      structural uncertainties and potential muni non-competitiveness all
      conspire against rough-and-ready FERC resolution of national power
      transmission, dispatch and pricing issues through a series of
      California-like individual orders (and perhaps even by dramatic
      enforcement of Order No. 2000). It also highlights the difficulty in
      beginning to address the special reliability issues related to the New
      Economy which are beginning to play a more and more important role in
      future power regulation.</font></p>
      <p ALIGN="JUSTIFY"><font face="Arial">It&#8217;s not clear how the promised
      new &quot;honor in the presidency&quot; or &quot;fighting for the working
      class&quot; solves this type problem, or even how pro-business or
      government biases cut, when the issue is really one of assuring that our
      electric system keeps America competitive. Fuel preferences of the
      presidential contenders also are not dispositive of the operational issues
      presented. But it is clear that FERC&#8217;s lifting the Siege of San Diego is
      just a bump in the historical road and a blip in the uncertain load. It
      is, at least, a beginning.</font></p>
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    <p class="MsoBodyText" align="left" style="margin-bottom:0in;margin-bottom:.0001pt;
text-align:left"><font face="Arial" size="2">
	<span lang="X-NONE" style="color: black">ROGER FELDMAN, Co-Chair of Andrews 
	Kurth LLP Climate Change and Carbon Markets Group has practiced law related 
	to the finance of environmental and energy projects and companies for 40 
	years.&nbsp; In particular, he has analyzed and executed a wide variety and 
	substantial value of project financings.&nbsp; He chairs the American Bar 
	Association&#8217;s Committee on Carbon Trading and Finance, serves on the Board 
	of the American Council for Renewable Energy, and has been a senior official 
	in the Federal Energy Administration.&nbsp; He is a graduate of Brown University, 
	Yale Law School and Harvard Business School.</span></font></p>

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